La scuola delle quote

Darwin Blanch v Jan-Lennard Struff

Inizio: 2026-03-19 17:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Darwin Blanch (Casa)

Previsione 38.06%2.63quota equa
EV +2.75%
Vantaggio +1.02%
Kelly +1.62%
Crescita +0.045%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.94%38.13%37.91%39.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.502.502.7042.02%39.99%40.00%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (Trasferta)

Previsione 61.94%1.61quota equa
EV -3.37%
Vantaggio -2.16%
Kelly -6.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.76%61.87%62.09%65.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.521.521.5670.42%65.98%65.79%64.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +2.75%E +1.02%K +1.62%G +0.045%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV +0.088%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:44
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV +0.088%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.05%E -0.405%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -1.05%E -0.405%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -12.04%E -8.48%K -28.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 16:44
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.81%E -0.703%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 16:44
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.20%E -0.854%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.37%E -2.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.20%E -0.854%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.37%E -2.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 16:14
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.61%E -2.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 16:39
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:45
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Unibet (UK)2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.72%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.48%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.61%E -2.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.61%E -2.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:45
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:44
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:40
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:45
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:45
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:45
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:39
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:45
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -5.24%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:40
ReBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.62%E -2.27%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:00
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.62%E -2.27%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.61%E -2.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:43
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.62%E -2.27%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:45
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.76%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:00
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.76%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:00
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.76%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.85%E -3.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 16:40
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.76%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.46%E -4.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.52%E -3.10%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -7.70%E -5.17%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 16:44
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 15:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.70%E -5.17%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 16:40
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.32%E -5.62%K -17.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 16:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.43%E -3.96%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:44
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.43%E -3.96%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-03-19 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-03-19 16:44
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%1.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-03-19 16:39
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-03-19 16:45