StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Brandon Nakashima v Marin Cilic

Matchstart: 2026-03-22 00:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Brandon Nakashima (Hemma)

Prognos 58.53%1.71rättvist odds
EV -1.09%
Fördel -0.644%
Kelly -1.58%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.99%58.65%58.59%62.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.531.621.631.6965.36%61.66%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Marin Cilic (Borta)

Prognos 41.47%2.41rättvist odds
EV +3.68%
Fördel +1.47%
Kelly +2.45%
Tillväxt +0.090%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.97%41.35%41.41%44.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.292.302.5046.51%43.65%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Brandon Nakashima (Hemma): 58.53%; Marin Cilic (Borta): 41.47%. För Marin Cilic (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.41. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.68%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -10.45%E -6.83%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +3.68%E +1.47%K +2.45%G +0.090%5.4%2026-03-21 23:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:00
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.54%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.54%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.37%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.77%E -3.58%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:59
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:56
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.44%E -2.39%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.86%E -2.58%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.67%E -0.997%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 00:00
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.77%E -3.58%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.53%E -4.76%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 00:00
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -1.09%E -0.644%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.10%E -3.17%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -1.09%E -0.644%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.10%E -3.17%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 23:55
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.09%E -0.644%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.67%E -0.997%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:00
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-22 00:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%2.6%2026-03-22 00:00