A Escola das Odds

Brandon Nakashima v Marin Cilic

Início: 2026-03-22 00:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Previsão 58.53%1.71odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.644%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.99%58.65%58.59%62.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.621.631.6965.36%61.66%61.35%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Marin Cilic (Visitante)

Previsão 41.47%2.41odd justa
EV +3.68%
Vantagem +1.47%
Kelly +2.45%
Crescimento +0.090%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.97%41.35%41.41%44.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.292.302.5046.51%43.65%43.48%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -10.45%E -6.83%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +3.68%E +1.47%K +2.45%G +0.090%5.4%2026-03-21 23:50
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:00
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:00
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.54%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.54%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 00:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.37%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 00:00
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:59
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.77%E -3.58%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:59
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:56
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:59
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.44%E -2.39%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.86%E -2.58%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.67%E -0.997%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 00:00
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 00:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.77%E -3.58%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 00:00
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 00:00
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.53%E -4.76%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 00:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 00:00
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -1.09%E -0.644%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.10%E -3.17%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -1.09%E -0.644%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.10%E -3.17%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 23:55
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.09%E -0.644%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:59
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.67%E -0.997%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:00
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-22 00:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%2.6%2026-03-22 00:00