StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Brandon Nakashima v Marin Cilic

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-22 00:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Brandon Nakashima (Heim)

Prognose 58.53%1.71faire Quote
EV -1.09%
Vorteil -0.644%
Kelly -1.58%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.69

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.99%58.65%58.59%62.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.531.621.631.6965.36%61.66%61.35%59.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Marin Cilic (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.47%2.41faire Quote
EV +3.68%
Vorteil +1.47%
Kelly +2.45%
Wachstum +0.090%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.97%41.35%41.41%44.01%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.292.302.5046.51%43.65%43.48%40.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Brandon Nakashima (Heim): 58.53%; Marin Cilic (Auswärts): 41.47%. Für Marin Cilic (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.41. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.68%.

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -10.45%E -6.83%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +3.68%E +1.47%K +2.45%G +0.090%5.4%2026-03-21 23:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:00
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.54%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.54%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.37%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.77%E -3.58%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:59
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:56
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.44%E -2.39%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.86%E -2.58%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.67%E -0.997%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 00:00
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.77%E -3.58%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.53%E -4.76%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 00:00
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -1.09%E -0.644%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.10%E -3.17%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -1.09%E -0.644%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.10%E -3.17%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 23:55
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.09%E -0.644%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.67%E -0.997%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:00
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-22 00:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%2.6%2026-03-22 00:00