مدرسة الاحتمالات

Brandon Nakashima v Marin Cilic

البداية: 2026-03-22 00:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Brandon Nakashima (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.53%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.09%
الأفضلية -0.644%
Kelly -1.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.99%58.65%58.59%62.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.621.631.6965.36%61.66%61.35%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Marin Cilic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.47%2.41السعر العادل
EV +3.68%
الأفضلية +1.47%
Kelly +2.45%
النمو +0.090%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.97%41.35%41.41%44.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.292.302.5046.51%43.65%43.48%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -10.45%E -6.83%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +3.68%E +1.47%K +2.45%G +0.090%5.4%2026-03-21 23:50
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:00
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.29%E -0.544%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:00
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.54%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.54%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 00:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.37%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 00:00
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:59
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.77%E -3.58%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:59
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:56
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:59
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.61%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.44%E -2.39%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.86%E -2.58%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.67%E -0.997%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 00:00
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 00:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.77%E -3.58%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 00:00
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 00:00
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.53%E -4.76%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 00:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.11%E -5.17%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 00:00
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -1.09%E -0.644%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.10%E -3.17%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -1.09%E -0.644%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.10%E -3.17%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 23:55
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.09%E -0.644%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:59
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.67%E -0.997%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:00
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-22 00:00
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-22 00:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%2.6%2026-03-22 00:00