Language:English
Ben Shelton v Alexander Shevchenko
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ben Shelton (Local)
Prediction 81.78%1.22fair odd
EV -0.223%
Edge -0.183%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%81.87%81.90%86.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.141.141.2292.59%87.93%87.72%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Shevchenko (Visit)
Prediction 18.22%5.49fair odd
EV +29.33%
Edge +4.13%
Kelly +4.81%
Growth +1.41%
assuming max odds 7.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.41%18.13%18.10%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.005.615.507.1025.00%17.83%18.18%14.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ben Shelton (Local): 81.78%; Alexander Shevchenko (Visit): 18.22%. For Alexander Shevchenko (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.49. 30 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -10.04%E -9.13%K -100.38%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV +29.33%E +4.13%K +4.81%G +1.41% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +24.96%E +3.64%K +4.26%G +1.06% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +24.96%E +3.64%K +4.26%G +1.06% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +22.96%E +3.40%K +3.99%G +0.917% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -11.67%E -10.81%K -145.92%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +22.96%E +3.40%K +3.99%G +0.917% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 22:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.42%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.58%EV +20.59%E +3.11%K +3.66%G +0.754% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV +19.31%E +2.95%K +3.48%G +0.672% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +19.13%E +2.93%K +3.45%G +0.661% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +18.40%E +2.83%K +3.35%G +0.616% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 22:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +18.40%E +2.83%K +3.35%G +0.616% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -10.86%E -9.96%K -120.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +18.40%E +2.83%K +3.35%G +0.616% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +16.58%E +2.59%K +3.07%G +0.509% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +16.58%E +2.59%K +3.07%G +0.509% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +16.58%E +2.59%K +3.07%G +0.509% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV +14.76%E +2.34%K +2.78%G +0.411% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +13.85%E +2.22%K +2.64%G +0.365% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 23:07 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +13.85%E +2.22%K +2.64%G +0.365% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +9.30%E +1.55%K +1.86%G +0.173% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -10.04%E -9.13%K -100.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +9.30%E +1.55%K +1.86%G +0.173% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +2.01%E +0.359%K +0.437%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.13%E -4.42%K -32.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.37%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.37%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.37%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.37%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.10%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.10%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.10%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.13%E -4.42%K -32.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -9.83%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.56%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.56%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -13.47%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.39%E -3.06%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -15.30%E -3.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -1.86%E -1.55%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -21.12%E -4.88%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.223%E -0.183%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -27.14%E -6.78%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.27% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.73% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 23:14 |