L’École des cotes

Ben Shelton v Alexander Shevchenko

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 23:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ben Shelton (Local)

Prévision 81.78%1.22cote équitable
EV -0.223%
Avantage -0.183%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%81.87%81.90%86.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.141.141.2292.59%87.93%87.72%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Shevchenko (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.22%5.49cote équitable
EV +29.33%
Avantage +4.13%
Kelly +4.81%
Croissance +1.41%

avec la cote maximale 7.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.41%18.13%18.10%23.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.005.615.507.1025.00%17.83%18.18%14.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -10.04%E -9.13%K -100.38%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV +29.33%E +4.13%K +4.81%G +1.41%5.0%2026-03-21 22:59
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +24.96%E +3.64%K +4.26%G +1.06%3.9%2026-03-21 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +24.96%E +3.64%K +4.26%G +1.06%3.9%2026-03-21 23:00
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +22.96%E +3.40%K +3.99%G +0.917%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -11.67%E -10.81%K -145.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +22.96%E +3.40%K +3.99%G +0.917%7.4%2026-03-21 22:58
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 85.42%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.58%EV +20.59%E +3.11%K +3.66%G +0.754%3.6%2026-03-21 23:04
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV +19.31%E +2.95%K +3.48%G +0.672%5.4%2026-03-21 23:04
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +19.13%E +2.93%K +3.45%G +0.661%4.6%2026-03-21 23:00
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +18.40%E +2.83%K +3.35%G +0.616%4.7%2026-03-21 22:56
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +18.40%E +2.83%K +3.35%G +0.616%5.5%2026-03-21 22:59
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -10.86%E -9.96%K -120.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +18.40%E +2.83%K +3.35%G +0.616%7.1%2026-03-21 23:14
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +16.58%E +2.59%K +3.07%G +0.509%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +16.58%E +2.59%K +3.07%G +0.509%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +16.58%E +2.59%K +3.07%G +0.509%5.7%2026-03-21 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV +14.76%E +2.34%K +2.78%G +0.411%6.0%2026-03-21 22:59
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +13.85%E +2.22%K +2.64%G +0.365%6.1%2026-03-21 23:07
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +13.85%E +2.22%K +2.64%G +0.365%6.1%2026-03-21 23:10
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +9.30%E +1.55%K +1.86%G +0.173%6.8%2026-03-21 22:59
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -10.04%E -9.13%K -100.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +9.30%E +1.55%K +1.86%G +0.173%7.6%2026-03-21 22:59
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +2.01%E +0.359%K +0.437%G +0.009%4.8%2026-03-21 23:14
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 23:14
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 23:14
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.13%E -4.42%K -32.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.37%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:14
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.37%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:14
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.37%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:14
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.37%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:14
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:14
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:14
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:14
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:14
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 23:14
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.10%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:15
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.10%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.10%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 23:14
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.13%E -4.42%K -32.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:14
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 23:14
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 23:14
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 23:14
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 23:14
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -9.83%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.56%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:14
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.56%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:14
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -13.47%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:14
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.39%E -3.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 23:14
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -15.30%E -3.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 23:14
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -1.86%E -1.55%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -21.12%E -4.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:14
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.223%E -0.183%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -27.14%E -6.78%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-21 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-21 23:15
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-03-21 23:15
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.27%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.73%2.1%2026-03-21 23:15
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-03-21 23:14