La escuela de los momios

Ben Shelton v Alexander Shevchenko

Inicio: 2026-03-21 23:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ben Shelton (Local)

Predicción 81.78%1.22momio equitativo
EV -0.223%
Ventaja -0.183%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%81.87%81.90%86.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.141.141.2292.59%87.93%87.72%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante)

Predicción 18.22%5.49momio equitativo
EV +29.33%
Ventaja +4.13%
Kelly +4.81%
Crecimiento +1.41%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.41%18.13%18.10%23.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.005.615.507.1025.00%17.83%18.18%14.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -10.04%E -9.13%K -100.38%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV +29.33%E +4.13%K +4.81%G +1.41%5.0%2026-03-21 22:59
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +24.96%E +3.64%K +4.26%G +1.06%3.9%2026-03-21 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +24.96%E +3.64%K +4.26%G +1.06%3.9%2026-03-21 23:00
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +22.96%E +3.40%K +3.99%G +0.917%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -11.67%E -10.81%K -145.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +22.96%E +3.40%K +3.99%G +0.917%7.4%2026-03-21 22:58
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 85.42%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.58%EV +20.59%E +3.11%K +3.66%G +0.754%3.6%2026-03-21 23:04
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV +19.31%E +2.95%K +3.48%G +0.672%5.4%2026-03-21 23:04
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +19.13%E +2.93%K +3.45%G +0.661%4.6%2026-03-21 23:00
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +18.40%E +2.83%K +3.35%G +0.616%4.7%2026-03-21 22:56
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +18.40%E +2.83%K +3.35%G +0.616%5.5%2026-03-21 22:59
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -10.86%E -9.96%K -120.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +18.40%E +2.83%K +3.35%G +0.616%7.1%2026-03-21 23:14
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +16.58%E +2.59%K +3.07%G +0.509%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -8.40%E -7.50%K -70.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +16.58%E +2.59%K +3.07%G +0.509%4.9%2026-03-21 22:59
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +16.58%E +2.59%K +3.07%G +0.509%5.7%2026-03-21 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV +14.76%E +2.34%K +2.78%G +0.411%6.0%2026-03-21 22:59
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +13.85%E +2.22%K +2.64%G +0.365%6.1%2026-03-21 23:07
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +13.85%E +2.22%K +2.64%G +0.365%6.1%2026-03-21 23:10
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.22%E -8.31%K -83.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +9.30%E +1.55%K +1.86%G +0.173%6.8%2026-03-21 22:59
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -10.04%E -9.13%K -100.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +9.30%E +1.55%K +1.86%G +0.173%7.6%2026-03-21 22:59
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +2.01%E +0.359%K +0.437%G +0.009%4.8%2026-03-21 23:14
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:14
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 23:14
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +0.188%E +0.034%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 23:14
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.13%E -4.42%K -32.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.37%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:14
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.37%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:14
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.37%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:14
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.37%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:14
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:14
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:14
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:14
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:14
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 23:14
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.10%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:15
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.10%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.10%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 23:14
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.13%E -4.42%K -32.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:14
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 23:14
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 23:14
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 23:14
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.92%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 23:14
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -7.58%E -6.71%K -58.34%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -9.83%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.56%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:14
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.56%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:14
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -13.47%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:14
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.31%E -3.69%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.39%E -3.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 23:14
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -5.95%E -5.17%K -39.66%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -15.30%E -3.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 23:14
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -1.86%E -1.55%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -21.12%E -4.88%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:14
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.223%E -0.183%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -27.14%E -6.78%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-21 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-21 23:15
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-03-21 23:15
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.27%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.73%2.1%2026-03-21 23:15
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-03-21 23:14