Language:English
Andrey Rublev v Alejandro Tabilo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Prediction 67.60%1.48fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -6.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%67.47%67.63%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.32%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visit)
Prediction 32.40%3.09fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.386%
Kelly -0.575%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%32.53%32.37%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.953.0536.36%34.27%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrey Rublev (Local): 67.60%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visit): 32.40%. For Alejandro Tabilo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.33%E -2.33%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.18%E -0.386%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.80%E -0.933%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -5.07%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -5.07%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -5.39%E -1.85%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 15:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.69%E -3.32%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.07%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.69%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 20:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.18%E -0.386%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -1.50%E -0.494%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -3.45%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.80%E -0.933%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.69%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.06%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.80%E -0.933%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.06%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.80%E -0.933%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.06%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.70% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 31.30% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |