Idioma:Español
Andrey Rublev v Alejandro Tabilo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Predicción 67.60%1.48momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -6.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%67.47%67.63%68.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.32%71.43%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)
Predicción 32.40%3.09momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.386%
Kelly -0.575%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.19%32.53%32.37%34.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.922.953.0536.36%34.27%33.90%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Andrey Rublev (Local): 67.60%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 32.40%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.09. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.05, con un valor esperado de -1.18%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.33%E -2.33%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.18%E -0.386%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.80%E -0.933%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -5.07%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -5.07%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -5.39%E -1.85%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 15:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.69%E -3.32%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.07%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.69%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 20:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.18%E -0.386%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -1.50%E -0.494%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -3.45%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.80%E -0.933%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.69%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.06%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.80%E -0.933%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.06%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.80%E -0.933%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.06%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.70% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 31.30% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |