La scuola delle quote

Andrey Rublev v Alejandro Tabilo

Inizio: 2026-03-21 20:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Andrey Rublev (Casa)

Previsione 67.60%1.48quota equa
EV -2.66%
Vantaggio -1.85%
Kelly -6.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.63%67.47%67.63%68.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.32%71.43%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alejandro Tabilo (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.40%3.09quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.386%
Kelly -0.575%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.19%32.53%32.37%34.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.922.953.0536.36%34.27%33.90%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:19
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:20
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.33%E -2.33%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 20:00
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.18%E -0.386%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 20:04
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.80%E -0.933%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 19:39
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 19:49
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -5.07%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 19:45
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -5.07%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 19:45
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -5.39%E -1.85%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:04
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 15:44
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.69%E -3.32%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.07%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 19:49
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:44
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:45
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:45
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:39
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:49
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:29
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:44
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:45
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:49
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 19:45
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 19:45
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 19:34
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 19:29
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.69%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:44
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 19:39
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:09
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:10
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.18%E -0.386%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 19:39
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -1.50%E -0.494%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 19:39
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -3.45%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 20:00
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.80%E -0.933%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 19:39
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 19:49
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.69%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:29
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.06%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.80%E -0.933%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 19:39
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.06%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.80%E -0.933%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 19:39
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.06%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 19:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-21 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-21 20:04
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-21 20:05
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.70%3.16I 31.65%NM 31.30%1.1%2026-03-21 20:05
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-21 20:05
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-03-21 20:05