Language:English
Alexander Zverev v Jannik Sinner
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prediction 16.62%6.02fair odd
EV +8.03%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.117%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%16.66%16.43%18.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.675.806.5020.00%17.62%17.24%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jannik Sinner (Visit)
Prediction 83.38%1.20fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -14.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.30%83.34%83.57%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.141.141.1791.74%87.83%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 16.62%; Jannik Sinner (Visit): 83.38%. For Alexander Zverev (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.03%E +1.23%K +1.46%G +0.117% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 21:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 22:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 08:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 06:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 06:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 06:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 06:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%EV -1.95%E -0.330%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45%EV -2.44%E -2.09%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -1.95%E -0.330%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.44%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.44%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.44%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.44%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.94%EV -6.27%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.06%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -6.93%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.71%EV -9.12%E -8.36%K -101.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 22:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -9.42%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -9.76%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.28%E -2.83%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -9.76%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.28%E -2.83%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -11.09%E -2.07%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.28%E -2.83%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.75%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -13.75%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -2.44%E -2.09%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 20:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 22:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.25% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.75% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.99% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.01% | 1.4% | 2026-03-27 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |