La scuola delle quote

Alexander Zverev v Jannik Sinner

Inizio: 2026-03-27 23:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alexander Zverev (Casa)

Previsione 16.62%6.02quota equa
EV +8.03%
Vantaggio +1.23%
Kelly +1.46%
Crescita +0.117%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.70%16.66%16.43%18.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.675.806.5020.00%17.62%17.24%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jannik Sinner (Trasferta)

Previsione 83.38%1.20quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -2.09%
Kelly -14.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.30%83.34%83.57%85.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.091.141.141.1791.74%87.83%87.72%85.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.03%E +1.23%K +1.46%G +0.117%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 13:35
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 21:34
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 22:40
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 22:50
Parions Sport (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 22:45
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 22:25
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 08:39
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 06:15
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 06:14
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 06:25
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 06:25
Pinnacle5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%EV -1.95%E -0.330%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45%EV -2.44%E -2.09%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 22:45
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -1.95%E -0.330%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 22:25
Betsson5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:00
NordicBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:00
Fanatics5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:35
ReBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:40
LiveScore Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
Grosvenor5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
Bally Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:25
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 21:35
GTbets5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.44%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 22:40
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.44%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:05
Hard Rock Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.44%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 22:25
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.44%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 22:20
DraftKings5.64I 17.73%NM 16.94%EV -6.27%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.06%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:10
NetBet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -6.93%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 83.71%EV -9.12%E -8.36%K -101.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 22:55
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 19:55
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 22:49
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 22:14
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 22:25
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 22:40
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 22:25
PMU (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 21:50
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 21:29
Marathon Bet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -9.42%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 22:40
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -9.76%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.28%E -2.83%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:00
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -9.76%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.28%E -2.83%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:00
Fliff5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -11.09%E -2.07%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 22:55
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.28%E -2.83%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:45
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.75%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:40
1xBet5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -13.75%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -2.44%E -2.09%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 22:55
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 21:50
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 21:00
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 22:05
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 20:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-03-27 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-03-27 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-03-27 22:45
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-03-27 22:50
ProphetX6.50I 15.38%NM 15.25%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.75%0.9%2026-03-27 22:40
Novig6.58I 15.20%NM 14.99%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.01%1.4%2026-03-27 22:55
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-03-27 22:40