La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexander Zverev v Jannik Sinner
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Predicción 16.62%6.02momio equitativo
EV +8.03%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.117%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.70%16.66%16.43%18.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.675.806.5020.00%17.62%17.24%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jannik Sinner (Visitante)
Predicción 83.38%1.20momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -14.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.30%83.34%83.57%85.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.091.141.141.1791.74%87.83%87.72%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.03%E +1.23%K +1.46%G +0.117% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 21:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 22:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| SportsBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 08:39 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 06:15 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 06:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 06:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.284%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 06:25 |
| Pinnacle | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%EV -1.95%E -0.330%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45%EV -2.44%E -2.09%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| FanDuel | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -1.95%E -0.330%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Betsson | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:00 |
| Fanatics | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| ReBet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| BetRivers | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| TABtouch | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Grosvenor | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Unibet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Casumo | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Bally Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| LeoVegas | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.61%E -0.622%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| GTbets | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.44%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Bet Right | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.44%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.44%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| BetUS | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.44%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| DraftKings | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.94%EV -6.27%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.06%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -6.93%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.71%EV -9.12%E -8.36%K -101.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 22:55 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 19:55 |
| Bovada | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 22:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 22:14 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| Caesars | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.59%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.61%E -5.91%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -9.42%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -9.76%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.28%E -2.83%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -9.76%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.28%E -2.83%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| Fliff | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -11.09%E -2.07%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 22:55 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.28%E -2.83%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 21:45 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.75%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -13.75%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -2.44%E -2.09%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 22:55 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.11%E -3.58%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.95%E -4.34%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -16.90%E -3.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.78%E -5.11%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 20:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Matchbook | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 22:50 |
| ProphetX | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.25% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.75% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Novig | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.99% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.01% | 1.4% | 2026-03-27 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |