Language:English
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Rei Sakamoto
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)
Prediction 61.68%1.62fair odd
EV -0.077%
Edge -0.048%
Kelly -0.124%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%61.81%61.54%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.541.6268.97%64.98%64.94%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rei Sakamoto (Visit)
Prediction 38.32%2.61fair odd
EV +5.38%
Edge +1.96%
Kelly +3.07%
Growth +0.165%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%38.19%38.46%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.442.402.7543.10%41.00%41.67%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 61.68%; Rei Sakamoto (Visit): 38.32%. For Rei Sakamoto (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.56%E -7.28%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +5.38%E +1.96%K +3.07%G +0.165% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.370%E -0.142%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.71%E -5.89%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.370%E -0.142%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.29%E -0.897%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 16:43 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.25%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.29%E -0.897%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.33%E -6.35%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -2.29%E -0.897%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.82%E -1.52%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-20 05:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 14:02 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.39%E -2.84%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.97%E -2.00%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 08:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.35%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.35%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.25%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 16:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.95%E -6.81%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -0.077%E -0.048%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -6.88%E -2.83%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 15:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.27%E -3.00%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 16:37 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.39%E -2.84%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.39%E -2.84%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 16:41 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.25%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.71%E -5.89%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 11:18 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.18%E -3.87%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 14:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.31%E -0.819%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 16:37 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 12:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -10.72%E -4.60%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -11.10%E -4.78%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17% | 2.7% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |