L’École des cotes

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Rei Sakamoto

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 17:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)

Prévision 61.68%1.62cote équitable
EV -0.077%
Avantage -0.048%
Kelly -0.124%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.49%61.81%61.54%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.541.541.6268.97%64.98%64.94%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rei Sakamoto (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.32%2.61cote équitable
EV +5.38%
Avantage +1.96%
Kelly +3.07%
Croissance +0.165%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%38.19%38.46%40.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.442.402.7543.10%41.00%41.67%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.56%E -7.28%K -23.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +5.38%E +1.96%K +3.07%G +0.165%5.3%2026-03-20 16:45
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.370%E -0.142%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 16:45
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.71%E -5.89%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.370%E -0.142%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 16:45
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.29%E -0.897%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 16:43
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.25%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.29%E -0.897%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.33%E -6.35%K -19.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -2.29%E -0.897%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 16:45
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.82%E -1.52%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 05:54
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 15:35
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 14:02
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:44
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.39%E -2.84%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.97%E -2.00%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 08:20
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.35%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.35%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 16:40
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.25%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 16:44
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.95%E -6.81%K -21.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 16:45
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -0.077%E -0.048%K -0.124%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -6.88%E -2.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 15:45
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.27%E -3.00%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 15:40
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:50
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:37
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:45
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:45
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:45
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:45
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.39%E -2.84%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 16:45
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.39%E -2.84%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 16:40
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 16:45
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 16:44
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 16:41
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.25%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 16:45
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.71%E -5.89%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 16:45
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 15:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 11:18
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 16:45
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.18%E -3.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 14:48
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.31%E -0.819%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 15:45
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 16:37
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 16:45
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 12:39
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -10.72%E -4.60%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -11.10%E -4.78%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-03-20 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-03-20 16:45
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-03-20 16:45
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-03-20 16:45
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%2.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%2.9%2026-03-20 16:45
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-03-20 16:45