La scuola delle quote

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Rei Sakamoto

Inizio: 2026-03-20 17:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Casa)

Previsione 61.68%1.62quota equa
EV -0.077%
Vantaggio -0.048%
Kelly -0.124%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.49%61.81%61.54%65.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.541.541.6268.97%64.98%64.94%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rei Sakamoto (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.32%2.61quota equa
EV +5.38%
Vantaggio +1.96%
Kelly +3.07%
Crescita +0.165%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.52%38.19%38.46%40.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.322.442.402.7543.10%41.00%41.67%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.56%E -7.28%K -23.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +5.38%E +1.96%K +3.07%G +0.165%5.3%2026-03-20 16:45
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.370%E -0.142%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 16:45
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.71%E -5.89%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.370%E -0.142%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 16:45
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.29%E -0.897%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 16:43
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.25%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.29%E -0.897%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.33%E -6.35%K -19.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -2.29%E -0.897%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 16:45
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.82%E -1.52%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 05:54
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 15:35
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 14:02
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:44
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.39%E -2.84%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.97%E -2.00%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 08:20
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.35%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.35%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 16:40
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.25%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 16:44
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.95%E -6.81%K -21.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.12%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 16:45
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -0.077%E -0.048%K -0.124%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -6.88%E -2.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 15:45
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.27%E -3.00%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 15:40
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:50
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:37
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:45
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:45
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:45
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:45
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.39%E -2.84%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 16:45
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.39%E -2.84%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 16:40
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 16:45
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 16:44
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 16:41
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.25%E -4.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 16:45
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.71%E -5.89%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 16:45
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 15:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 11:18
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 16:45
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.18%E -3.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 14:48
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.31%E -0.819%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 15:45
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.16%E -2.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 16:37
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.78%E -2.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 16:45
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 12:39
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.01%E -3.25%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -10.72%E -4.60%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -11.10%E -4.78%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 16:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-03-20 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-03-20 16:45
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-03-20 16:45
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-03-20 16:45
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%2.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%2.9%2026-03-20 16:45
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-03-20 16:45