语言:简体中文
Yannick Hanfmann v Marcos Giron
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Yannick Hanfmann (主队)
预测 68.79%1.45公平赔率
EV -0.936%
优势 -0.650%
Kelly -2.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.44
博彩公司预测分布
65.63%68.49%69.08%71.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.371.361.4476.92%72.82%73.53%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
Marcos Giron (客队)
预测 31.21%3.20公平赔率
EV +4.54%
优势 +1.35%
Kelly +1.93%
增长率 +0.088%
假设最高赔率为 3.35
博彩公司预测分布
28.42%31.51%30.92%34.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.993.003.3537.74%33.45%33.33%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yannick Hanfmann (主队)：68.79%；Marcos Giron (客队)：31.21%。 对于“Marcos Giron (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.20。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.35，对应+4.54%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +4.54%E +1.35%K +1.93%G +0.088% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -5.75%E -4.20%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +3.60%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.42%E +0.436%K +0.630%G +0.009% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.42%E +0.436%K +0.630%G +0.009% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -7.82%E -5.83%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV +0.482%E +0.150%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.142%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 07:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.142%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.142%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.142%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.454%E -0.142%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.75%E -4.20%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.70%E -0.541%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -1.70%E -0.541%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -1.70%E -0.541%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.70%E -0.541%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 06:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.75%E -4.20%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.82%E -5.83%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 08:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -2.31%E -1.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV -4.20%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 21:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.06%E -3.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.82%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.06%E -3.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.06%E -3.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.31%E -1.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 07:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.31%E -1.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -11.06%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -11.06%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.51%EV -9.88%E -7.54%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.49%EV -11.06%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.00%E -2.13%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.00%E -2.13%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.936%E -0.650%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -1.62%E -1.14%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.31%E -1.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -5.06%E -3.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -17.31%E -6.53%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.48% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |