Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Yannick Hanfmann v Marcos Giron
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 68.79%1.45kurs godziwy
EV -0.936%
Przewaga -0.650%
Kelly -2.13%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.44
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.63%68.49%69.08%71.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.301.371.361.4476.92%72.82%73.53%69.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Marcos Giron (Goście)
Prognoza 31.21%3.20kurs godziwy
EV +4.54%
Przewaga +1.35%
Kelly +1.93%
Wzrost +0.088%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.35
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.42%31.51%30.92%34.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.652.993.003.3537.74%33.45%33.33%29.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +4.54%E +1.35%K +1.93%G +0.088% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 08:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -5.75%E -4.20%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +3.60%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.42%E +0.436%K +0.630%G +0.009% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.42%E +0.436%K +0.630%G +0.009% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -7.82%E -5.83%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV +0.482%E +0.150%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.142%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 07:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.142%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.142%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.142%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.454%E -0.142%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.75%E -4.20%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.70%E -0.541%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -1.70%E -0.541%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 08:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -1.70%E -0.541%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.70%E -0.541%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 06:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.75%E -4.20%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.82%E -5.83%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 08:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -2.31%E -1.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV -4.20%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 21:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.06%E -3.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.82%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:01 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:01 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.06%E -3.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.06%E -3.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.31%E -1.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 07:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.31%E -1.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -11.06%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -11.06%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.51%EV -9.88%E -7.54%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.49%EV -11.06%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.00%E -2.13%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.00%E -2.13%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.936%E -0.650%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -1.62%E -1.14%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.31%E -1.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -5.06%E -3.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -17.31%E -6.53%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Novig | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.48% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |