Die Wettquotenschule

Yannick Hanfmann v Marcos Giron

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-23 09:20 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Yannick Hanfmann (Heim)

Prognose 68.79%1.45faire Quote
EV -0.936%
Vorteil -0.650%
Kelly -2.13%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.44

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.63%68.49%69.08%71.58%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.301.371.361.4476.92%72.82%73.53%69.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Marcos Giron (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.21%3.20faire Quote
EV +4.54%
Vorteil +1.35%
Kelly +1.93%
Wachstum +0.088%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.42%31.51%30.92%34.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.652.993.003.3537.74%33.45%33.33%29.85%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +4.54%E +1.35%K +1.93%G +0.088%5.0%2026-04-23 08:50
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -5.75%E -4.20%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +3.60%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056%3.1%2026-04-23 09:10
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.42%E +0.436%K +0.630%G +0.009%4.3%2026-04-23 09:04
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.42%E +0.436%K +0.630%G +0.009%4.3%2026-04-23 09:04
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -7.82%E -5.83%K -22.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV +0.482%E +0.150%K +0.217%G +0.001%5.7%2026-04-23 09:15
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.142%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 07:44
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.142%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:05
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.142%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.142%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 09:15
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.454%E -0.142%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 08:55
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.75%E -4.20%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.70%E -0.541%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -1.70%E -0.541%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 08:50
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -1.70%E -0.541%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.70%E -0.541%K -0.792%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 06:30
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.75%E -4.20%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:14
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:00
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:04
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 13:30
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:15
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.82%E -5.83%K -22.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 08:45
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 09:15
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -2.31%E -1.63%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV -4.20%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 21:19
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.06%E -3.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.82%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 20:10
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:15
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:15
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:15
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:01
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:01
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:15
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.06%E -3.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.06%E -3.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.31%E -1.63%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 09:14
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 07:34
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.13%E -5.28%K -20.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 09:14
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.31%E -1.63%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:15
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -11.06%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 09:14
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -8.50%E -6.39%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -11.06%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 09:15
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.51%EV -9.88%E -7.54%K -31.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.49%EV -11.06%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 09:15
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.00%E -2.13%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:14
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.00%E -2.13%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:14
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:15
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:14
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.936%E -0.650%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:14
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -1.62%E -1.14%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:14
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.31%E -1.63%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:10
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:14
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:14
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.69%E -2.63%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.44%E -4.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 09:14
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -5.06%E -3.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -17.31%E -6.53%K -10.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 09:12
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-23 09:15
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%3.2%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%4.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.48%6.7%2026-04-23 09:15