Language:English
Ugo Humbert v Terence Atmane
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prediction 52.11%1.92fair odd
EV -0.989%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.90%52.22%52.08%54.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.801.9058.14%55.39%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Terence Atmane (Visit)
Prediction 47.89%2.09fair odd
EV +0.567%
Edge +0.270%
Kelly +0.515%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%47.78%47.92%49.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.992.002.1052.63%50.37%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ugo Humbert (Local): 52.11%; Terence Atmane (Visit): 47.89%. For Terence Atmane (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.567%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.81%E -5.03%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.567%E +0.270%K +0.515%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -8.81%E -5.03%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -9.85%E -5.69%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -2.79%E -1.37%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.37%E -6.03%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.12%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -0.989%E -0.520%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 00:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.05%E -4.19%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.05%E -4.19%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.10% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.90% | 12.2% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |