La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ugo Humbert v Terence Atmane
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Predicción 52.11%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.989%
Ventaja -0.520%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.90%52.22%52.08%54.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.811.801.9058.14%55.39%55.56%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Terence Atmane (Visitante)
Predicción 47.89%2.09momio equitativo
EV +0.567%
Ventaja +0.270%
Kelly +0.515%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.45%47.78%47.92%49.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.992.002.1052.63%50.37%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.81%E -5.03%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.567%E +0.270%K +0.515%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -8.81%E -5.03%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -9.85%E -5.69%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -2.79%E -1.37%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:08 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.37%E -6.03%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.12%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -0.989%E -0.520%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 00:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.05%E -4.19%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.05%E -4.19%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.10% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.90% | 12.2% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |