L’École des cotes

Ugo Humbert v Terence Atmane

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ugo Humbert (Local)

Prévision 52.11%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.989%
Avantage -0.520%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.90%52.22%52.08%54.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.811.801.9058.14%55.39%55.56%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Terence Atmane (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.89%2.09cote équitable
EV +0.567%
Avantage +0.270%
Kelly +0.515%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.45%47.78%47.92%49.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.901.992.002.1052.63%50.37%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.81%E -5.03%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.567%E +0.270%K +0.515%G +0.003%4.8%2026-04-23 16:10
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -8.81%E -5.03%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -9.85%E -5.69%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -2.79%E -1.37%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:08
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:00
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:49
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:50
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:50
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:50
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:49
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:50
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:50
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:50
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:49
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 21:24
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:25
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:25
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 13:05
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:59
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:04
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 21:24
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 20:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:15
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.37%E -6.03%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 18:19
DraftKings1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.12%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:40
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:35
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:24
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:49
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:50
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -0.989%E -0.520%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 01:10
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 01:00
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:59
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:25
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:24
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:00
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:00
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:19
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 01:09
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:24
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:24
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:25
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.05%E -4.19%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 18:20
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.05%E -4.19%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 18:19
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:20
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:24
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%3.5%2026-04-24 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%3.5%2026-04-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%3.5%2026-04-24 01:00
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 52.10%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.90%12.2%2026-04-24 01:40