Language:English
Tallon Griekspoor v Damir Dzumhur
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Prediction 61.13%1.64fair odd
EV -0.975%
Edge -0.602%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.90%61.28%60.99%63.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.541.6266.67%64.72%64.94%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Damir Dzumhur (Visit)
Prediction 38.87%2.57fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.412%
Kelly +0.669%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.89%38.72%39.01%40.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.462.492.6042.55%40.62%40.16%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 61.13%; Damir Dzumhur (Visit): 38.87%. For Damir Dzumhur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +1.07%E +0.412%K +0.669%G +0.007% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -7.70%E -5.10%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV +0.293%E +0.114%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.873%E -0.342%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -1.26%E -0.497%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.65%E -0.652%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.04%E -0.809%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 17:18 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 22:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.81%E -1.77%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.21%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.81%E -1.77%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.21%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.42%E -2.16%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 20:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.70%E -5.10%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 10:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 10:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -0.975%E -0.602%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.93%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 19:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 19:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 23:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 19:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.87%E -3.32%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.87%E -3.32%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 19:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:02 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.63% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.37% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |