La scuola delle quote

Tallon Griekspoor v Damir Dzumhur

Inizio: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tallon Griekspoor (Casa)

Previsione 61.13%1.64quota equa
EV -0.975%
Vantaggio -0.602%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.90%61.28%60.99%63.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.551.541.6266.67%64.72%64.94%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Damir Dzumhur (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.87%2.57quota equa
EV +1.07%
Vantaggio +0.412%
Kelly +0.669%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.89%38.72%39.01%40.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.462.492.6042.55%40.62%40.16%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +1.07%E +0.412%K +0.669%G +0.007%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -7.70%E -5.10%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV +0.293%E +0.114%K +0.185%G +0.001%5.0%2026-04-23 22:34
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.873%E -0.342%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -1.26%E -0.497%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 02:55
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.65%E -0.652%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.04%E -0.809%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:18
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:24
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:39
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:39
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:39
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:45
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:34
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:38
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.81%E -1.77%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.21%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.81%E -1.77%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.21%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.42%E -2.16%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 09:34
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 09:34
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 20:03
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:44
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:59
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:30
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:25
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.70%E -5.10%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:25
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 10:24
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 10:24
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:10
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -0.975%E -0.602%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.93%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 09:24
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:34
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:35
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:54
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:15
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:50
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:59
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:45
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 23:54
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 19:33
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.87%E -3.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.87%E -3.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:59
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:02
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.63%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.37%1.4%2026-04-24 03:20
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-04-24 02:10