La escuela de los momios

Tallon Griekspoor v Damir Dzumhur

Inicio: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tallon Griekspoor (Local)

Predicción 61.13%1.64momio equitativo
EV -0.975%
Ventaja -0.602%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.90%61.28%60.99%63.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.541.6266.67%64.72%64.94%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Damir Dzumhur (Visitante)

Predicción 38.87%2.57momio equitativo
EV +1.07%
Ventaja +0.412%
Kelly +0.669%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.89%38.72%39.01%40.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.462.492.6042.55%40.62%40.16%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +1.07%E +0.412%K +0.669%G +0.007%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -7.70%E -5.10%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV +0.293%E +0.114%K +0.185%G +0.001%5.0%2026-04-23 22:34
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.873%E -0.342%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -1.26%E -0.497%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 02:55
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.65%E -0.652%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.04%E -0.809%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:18
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:25
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:24
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:39
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:39
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:39
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:45
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:34
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:38
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.81%E -1.77%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.21%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.81%E -1.77%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.21%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.42%E -2.16%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 09:34
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 09:34
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 20:03
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:44
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:59
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:30
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:25
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.70%E -5.10%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:25
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 10:24
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 10:24
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:10
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -0.975%E -0.602%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.93%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 09:24
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:34
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:35
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:54
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:15
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:50
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:59
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:45
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 23:54
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 19:33
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.87%E -3.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.87%E -3.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:59
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:02
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.63%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.37%1.4%2026-04-24 03:20
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-04-24 02:10