默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Raphael Collignon v Matteo Berrettini

开赛时间: 2026-04-22 11:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Raphael Collignon (主队)

预测 52.41%1.91公平赔率
EV -3.03%
优势 -1.64%
Kelly -3.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
51.57%52.33%52.47%52.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.811.821.8557.14%55.22%54.95%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Matteo Berrettini (客队)

预测 47.59%2.10公平赔率
EV -2.45%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -2.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
47.12%47.67%47.53%48.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.941.992.002.0551.55%50.18%50.00%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Raphael Collignon (主队):52.41%;Matteo Berrettini (客队):47.59%。 对于“Matteo Berrettini (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.10。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.05,期望值为-2.45%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.03%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.03%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.26%E -3.18%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.56%E -1.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 16:24
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%EV -3.56%E -1.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 15:15
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:01
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:01
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:01
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:01
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:01
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:01
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 20:00
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.13%E -2.83%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 20:01
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 15:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 20:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 20:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 20:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 17:50
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 15:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 15:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-04-21 18:05
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-04-21 17:40