La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Raphael Collignon v Matteo Berrettini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Raphael Collignon (Local)
Predicción 52.41%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -3.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.57%52.33%52.47%52.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.811.821.8557.14%55.22%54.95%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)
Predicción 47.59%2.10momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.12%47.67%47.53%48.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.941.992.002.0551.55%50.18%50.00%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.03%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 17:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.03%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.26%E -3.18%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.56%E -1.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 16:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%EV -3.56%E -1.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 22:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| Betsson | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Bally Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:00 |
| GTbets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.13%E -2.83%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 20:00 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 17:50 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |