Lingua:Italiano
Raphael Collignon v Matteo Berrettini
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Raphael Collignon (Casa)
Previsione 52.41%1.91quota equa
EV -3.03%
Vantaggio -1.64%
Kelly -3.57%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.57%52.33%52.47%52.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.811.821.8557.14%55.22%54.95%54.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta)
Previsione 47.59%2.10quota equa
EV -2.45%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.12%47.67%47.53%48.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.941.992.002.0551.55%50.18%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Raphael Collignon (Casa): 52.41%; Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta): 47.59%. Per Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.10. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.05, con un valore atteso del -2.45%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.03%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.03%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.26%E -3.18%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.56%E -1.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%EV -3.56%E -1.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 20:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.13%E -2.83%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 20:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 17:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (2)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |