Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar v Alex de Minaur

Início: 2026-04-24 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Previsão 49.34%2.03odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.660%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.16%49.46%50.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.921.912.0053.48%52.19%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alex de Minaur (Visitante)

Previsão 50.66%1.97odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -1.42%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.60%50.84%50.54%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.871.881.9255.56%53.42%53.19%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rafael Jodar (Local): 49.34%; Alex de Minaur (Visitante): 50.66%. Para Rafael Jodar (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.03. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.00, com valor esperado de -1.32%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:44
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 02:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 03:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 03:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:15
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -1.81%E -0.912%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:25
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -2.80%E -1.42%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -2.73%E -1.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.73%E -1.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 00:35
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:15
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 22:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:55
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:03
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.28%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 02:19
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 02:20
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 03:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.27%E -2.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:34
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 11:39
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 18:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:04
NordicBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:05
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.77%E -3.10%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:19
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:49
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:49
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 02:19
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:29
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:30
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 09:39
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 02:10
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:49
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:39
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:09
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 02:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-04-24 03:35
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%3.4%2026-04-24 03:20