Lingua:Italiano
Rafael Jodar v Alex de Minaur
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Rafael Jodar (Casa)
Previsione 49.34%2.03quota equa
EV -1.32%
Vantaggio -0.660%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%49.16%49.46%50.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.871.921.912.0053.48%52.19%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alex de Minaur (Trasferta)
Previsione 50.66%1.97quota equa
EV -2.73%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.92
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.60%50.84%50.54%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.871.881.9255.56%53.42%53.19%52.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rafael Jodar (Casa): 49.34%; Alex de Minaur (Trasferta): 50.66%. Per Rafael Jodar (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.03. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.00, con un valore atteso del -1.32%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 03:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 03:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -1.81%E -0.912%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -2.80%E -1.42%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -2.73%E -1.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.73%E -1.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 11:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.28%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.27%E -2.74%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 15:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.77%E -3.10%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |