La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Alex de Minaur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 49.34%2.03momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.660%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%49.16%49.46%50.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.921.912.0053.48%52.19%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alex de Minaur (Visitante)
Predicción 50.66%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -2.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.60%50.84%50.54%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.871.881.9255.56%53.42%53.19%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 23:44 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 03:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 03:05 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -1.81%E -0.912%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -2.80%E -1.42%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -2.73%E -1.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.73%E -1.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| GTbets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 11:03 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.28%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.27%E -2.74%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| Betsson | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 15:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.77%E -3.10%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Novig | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |