Szkoła Kursów

Rafael Jodar v Alex de Minaur

Początek: 2026-04-24 18:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 49.34%2.03kurs godziwy
EV -1.32%
Przewaga -0.660%
Kelly -1.32%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.37%49.16%49.46%50.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.871.921.912.0053.48%52.19%52.36%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alex de Minaur (Goście)

Prognoza 50.66%1.97kurs godziwy
EV -2.73%
Przewaga -1.42%
Kelly -2.97%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.92

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
49.60%50.84%50.54%52.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.801.871.881.9255.56%53.42%53.19%52.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:44
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 02:44
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 03:04
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 03:05
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:15
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -1.81%E -0.912%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:25
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -2.80%E -1.42%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -2.73%E -1.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.73%E -1.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 00:35
DraftKings1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:15
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 22:09
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:55
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:55
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:03
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.28%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 02:19
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 02:20
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 03:25
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.27%E -2.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:34
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:05
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 11:39
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 18:04
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:04
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:05
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:08
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.77%E -3.10%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:19
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:49
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:49
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 02:19
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:29
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:30
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:30
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 09:39
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 02:10
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:49
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:49
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:39
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:49
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:39
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.26%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:09
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.74%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 02:19
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-04-24 03:35
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%3.4%2026-04-24 03:20