Language:English
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer v Reilly Opelka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Local)
Prediction 49.06%2.04fair odd
EV +0.567%
Edge +0.276%
Kelly +0.540%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.85%49.09%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.941.952.0554.05%51.54%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Reilly Opelka (Visit)
Prediction 50.94%1.96fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.15%50.91%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.831.9257.14%54.20%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Local): 49.06%; Reilly Opelka (Visit): 50.94%. For Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.567%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.567%E +0.276%K +0.540%G +0.003% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.87%E -1.45%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -3.36%E -1.70%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -2.19%E -1.14%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.19%E -1.14%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.26%E -3.40%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -9.32%E -5.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.85%E -6.20%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.25%E -2.82%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.23%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.23%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.26%E -3.40%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.79%E -4.31%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.79%E -4.31%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.81%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.25%E -2.82%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.41%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.41%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.57%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.77%E -4.13%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.77%E -4.13%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.42%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.26%E -4.42%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.24%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |