A Escola das Odds

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer v Reilly Opelka

Início: 2026-04-23 19:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Local)

Previsão 49.06%2.04odd justa
EV +0.567%
Vantagem +0.276%
Kelly +0.540%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.75%48.85%49.09%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.851.941.952.0554.05%51.54%51.28%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Reilly Opelka (Visitante)

Previsão 50.94%1.96odd justa
EV -2.19%
Vantagem -1.14%
Kelly -2.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.15%50.91%53.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.841.831.9257.14%54.20%54.64%52.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.567%E +0.276%K +0.540%G +0.003%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 17:24
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:25
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:25
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:24
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:25
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.87%E -1.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 18:55
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -3.36%E -1.70%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -2.19%E -1.14%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 18:10
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.19%E -1.14%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 18:25
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 18:09
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:14
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:15
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.26%E -3.40%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:15
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:24
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:39
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:39
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:39
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:39
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:25
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -9.32%E -5.24%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:24
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.85%E -6.20%K -14.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 17:40
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:54
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.25%E -2.82%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:54
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 18:14
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.23%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.23%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:14
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 17:40
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.26%E -3.40%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:54
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.79%E -4.31%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.79%E -4.31%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.81%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.25%E -2.82%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:15
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.41%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.41%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 18:34
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.57%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.77%E -4.13%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:29
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.77%E -4.13%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:15
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.26%E -4.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.24%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 17:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-23 18:55
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-04-23 18:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-04-23 18:55
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-04-23 18:55