L’École des cotes

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer v Reilly Opelka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 19:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Local)

Prévision 49.06%2.04cote équitable
EV +0.567%
Avantage +0.276%
Kelly +0.540%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%48.85%49.09%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.941.952.0554.05%51.54%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Reilly Opelka (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.94%1.96cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.15%50.91%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.841.831.9257.14%54.20%54.64%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.567%E +0.276%K +0.540%G +0.003%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 17:24
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:25
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:25
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:24
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.89%E -0.943%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:25
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.87%E -1.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 18:55
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -3.36%E -1.70%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -2.19%E -1.14%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 18:10
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.19%E -1.14%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 18:25
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 18:09
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:14
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:15
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.85%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.26%E -3.40%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:15
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:24
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:39
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:39
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:39
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:39
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:25
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -9.32%E -5.24%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:24
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.85%E -6.20%K -14.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 17:40
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:54
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.25%E -2.82%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:54
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 18:14
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.23%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.23%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:14
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 17:40
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.26%E -3.40%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:54
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.79%E -4.31%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.32%E -2.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.79%E -4.31%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.81%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.25%E -2.82%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:15
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.41%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.41%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 18:34
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.57%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.77%E -4.13%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:29
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.77%E -4.13%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.74%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:15
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.26%E -4.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.24%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 17:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-23 18:55
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-04-23 18:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-04-23 18:55
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-04-23 18:55