La scuola delle quote

Martin Damm Jr. v Jakub Mensik

Inizio: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Martin Damm Jr. (Casa)

Previsione 26.60%3.76quota equa
EV +3.75%
Vantaggio +0.960%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescita +0.048%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.12%26.69%26.50%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.563.553.9030.77%28.09%28.17%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jakub Mensik (Trasferta)

Previsione 73.40%1.36quota equa
EV -3.11%
Vantaggio -2.36%
Kelly -9.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.59%73.31%73.50%75.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.291.291.3280.65%77.69%77.52%75.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +3.75%E +0.960%K +1.29%G +0.048%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -8.99%E -7.25%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:30
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +1.09%E +0.286%K +0.388%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 18:30
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -0.244%E -0.065%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.85%E -2.94%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:49
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.57%E -0.426%K -0.583%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.78%E -5.34%K -25.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:30
1xBet3.67I 27.25%NM 26.45%EV -2.37%E -0.646%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.55%EV -3.11%E -2.36%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:50
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.90%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 18:30
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:54
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:30
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 16:19
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 16:20
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:54
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:55
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:45
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.25%E -6.60%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 16:54
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:05
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:05
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
GTbets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.85%E -2.94%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:10
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.85%E -2.94%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:35
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:15
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:35
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:05
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 02:45
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 02:45
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.78%E -5.34%K -25.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:30
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.25%E -6.60%K -33.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:30
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 02:45
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 02:44
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:45
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 22:58
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%4.0%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%10.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%10.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%11.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%12.1%2026-04-24 03:45