L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Martin Damm Jr. v Jakub Mensik
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Martin Damm Jr. (Local)
Prévision 26.60%3.76cote équitable
EV +3.75%
Avantage +0.960%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.048%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.12%26.69%26.50%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.563.553.9030.77%28.09%28.17%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)
Prévision 73.40%1.36cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -9.73%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.59%73.31%73.50%75.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.291.291.3280.65%77.69%77.52%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +3.75%E +0.960%K +1.29%G +0.048% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -8.99%E -7.25%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +1.09%E +0.286%K +0.388%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -0.244%E -0.065%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.85%E -2.94%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.57%E -0.426%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.78%E -5.34%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.45%EV -2.37%E -0.646%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.55%EV -3.11%E -2.36%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.90%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.25%E -6.60%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| GTbets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.85%E -2.94%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.85%E -2.94%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| theScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.78%E -5.34%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.25%E -6.60%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Neds | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 02:44 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29% | 4.0% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15% | 10.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15% | 10.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31% | 11.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54% | 12.1% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |