La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Martin Damm Jr. v Jakub Mensik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Martin Damm Jr. (Local)
Predicción 26.60%3.76momio equitativo
EV +3.75%
Ventaja +0.960%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.048%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.12%26.69%26.50%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.563.553.9030.77%28.09%28.17%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jakub Mensik (Visitante)
Predicción 73.40%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -9.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%73.31%73.50%75.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.291.291.3280.65%77.69%77.52%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +3.75%E +0.960%K +1.29%G +0.048% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -8.99%E -7.25%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +1.09%E +0.286%K +0.388%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -0.244%E -0.065%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.85%E -2.94%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.57%E -0.426%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.78%E -5.34%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.45%EV -2.37%E -0.646%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.55%EV -3.11%E -2.36%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.90%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.25%E -6.60%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| GTbets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.85%E -2.94%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.85%E -2.94%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| theScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.78%E -5.34%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.25%E -6.60%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.58%E -3.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Neds | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.05%E -4.73%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 02:44 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.32%E -4.12%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29% | 4.0% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15% | 10.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15% | 10.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31% | 11.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54% | 12.1% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |