The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Luciano Darderi

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)

Prediction 36.99%2.70fair odd
EV -0.879%
Edge -0.328%
Kelly -0.523%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.21%36.98%37.13%38.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.502.6843.48%39.50%40.00%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Luciano Darderi (Visit)

Prediction 63.01%1.59fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -6.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.33%63.02%62.87%64.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.03%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local): 36.99%; Luciano Darderi (Visit): 63.01%. For Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.68, with an expected value of -0.879%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.879%E -0.328%K -0.523%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 22:00
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.25%E -0.468%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 20:10
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.99%E -0.750%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 02:20
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.99%E -0.750%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:59
DraftKings🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:15
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:58
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:20
GTbets🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.58%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 21:39
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.58%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.63%E -5.95%K -19.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:04
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:09
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:30
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:30
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:09
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:09
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.63%E -5.95%K -19.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.39%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.39%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.08%E -5.57%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -14.93%E -6.49%K -11.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.33%EV -8.63%E -5.95%K -19.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 37.73%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.27%12.3%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.44%14.9%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.44%14.9%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.44%14.9%2026-04-24 03:45