La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Luciano Darderi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Casa)
Previsione 36.99%2.70quota equa
EV -0.879%
Vantaggio -0.328%
Kelly -0.523%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.68
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.21%36.98%37.13%38.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.532.502.6843.48%39.50%40.00%37.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Luciano Darderi (Trasferta)
Previsione 63.01%1.59quota equa
EV -3.59%
Vantaggio -2.34%
Kelly -6.77%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.33%63.02%62.87%64.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.03%66.67%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.879%E -0.328%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.25%E -0.468%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.99%E -0.750%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.99%E -0.750%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 21:58 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| GTbets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.58%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.58%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.63%E -5.95%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.63%E -5.95%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.39%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.39%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.08%E -5.57%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -14.93%E -6.49%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.33%EV -8.63%E -5.95%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.73% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.27% | 12.3% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.44% | 14.9% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.44% | 14.9% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.44% | 14.9% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |