语言:简体中文
Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Luciano Darderi
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (主队)
预测 36.99%2.70公平赔率
EV -0.879%
优势 -0.328%
Kelly -0.523%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.68
博彩公司预测分布
35.21%36.98%37.13%38.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.532.502.6843.48%39.50%40.00%37.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
Luciano Darderi (客队)
预测 63.01%1.59公平赔率
EV -3.59%
优势 -2.34%
Kelly -6.77%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.53
博彩公司预测分布
61.33%63.02%62.87%64.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.03%66.67%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Juan Manuel Cerundolo (主队)：36.99%；Luciano Darderi (客队)：63.01%。 对于“Juan Manuel Cerundolo (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.70。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.68，期望值为-0.879%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.879%E -0.328%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.25%E -0.468%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.99%E -0.750%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.99%E -0.750%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 21:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.58%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.58%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.63%E -5.95%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.54%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.63%E -5.95%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.39%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.39%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.08%E -5.57%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -14.93%E -6.49%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.33%EV -8.63%E -5.95%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.73% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.27% | 12.3% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.44% | 14.9% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.44% | 14.9% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.44% | 14.9% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |