Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka v Alejandro Tabilo

Início: 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Previsão 53.97%1.85odd justa
EV +0.390%
Vantagem +0.209%
Kelly +0.453%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.31%53.97%53.93%56.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.751.731.8659.17%57.30%57.80%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)

Previsão 46.03%2.17odd justa
EV +1.26%
Vantagem +0.573%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.73%46.03%46.07%48.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.072.072.2051.28%48.29%48.31%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 53.97%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 46.03%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.17. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.26%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +1.26%E +0.573%K +1.05%G +0.013%3.9%2026-04-23 21:25
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.04%E -0.485%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:30
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.79%E -5.20%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.04%E -0.485%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:54
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 03:40
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 02:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:14
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 02:30
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 02:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:30
NordicBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:30
Betsson🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:30
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:10
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:30
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:20
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.09%E -3.50%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:59
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:34
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 02:30
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +0.390%E +0.209%K +0.453%G +0.002%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -9.79%E -4.99%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +0.390%E +0.209%K +0.453%G +0.002%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -9.79%E -4.99%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:20
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.25%E -5.25%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 02:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-24 02:20
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-04-24 02:55
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%2.3%2026-04-24 03:15