La scuola delle quote

Jiri Lehecka v Alejandro Tabilo

Inizio: 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Casa)

Previsione 53.97%1.85quota equa
EV +0.390%
Vantaggio +0.209%
Kelly +0.453%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.31%53.97%53.93%56.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.691.751.731.8659.17%57.30%57.80%53.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alejandro Tabilo (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.03%2.17quota equa
EV +1.26%
Vantaggio +0.573%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.73%46.03%46.07%48.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.072.072.2051.28%48.29%48.31%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +1.26%E +0.573%K +1.05%G +0.013%3.9%2026-04-23 21:25
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.04%E -0.485%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:30
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.79%E -5.20%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.04%E -0.485%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:54
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 03:40
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:40
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 02:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:14
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:59
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:30
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 02:30
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 02:30
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:30
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:30
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:30
Betsson1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:30
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:15
Unibet (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:10
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:30
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:30
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:40
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:20
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:25
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.09%E -3.50%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:10
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:35
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:34
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:25
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 02:30
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:09
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +0.390%E +0.209%K +0.453%G +0.002%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -9.79%E -4.99%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:19
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +0.390%E +0.209%K +0.453%G +0.002%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -9.79%E -4.99%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:20
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.25%E -5.25%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 02:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-24 02:20
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-04-24 02:55
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%2.3%2026-04-24 03:15