مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jiri Lehecka v Alejandro Tabilo

البداية: 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.97%1.85السعر العادل
EV +0.390%
الأفضلية +0.209%
Kelly +0.453%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.31%53.97%53.93%56.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.691.751.731.8659.17%57.30%57.80%53.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alejandro Tabilo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.03%2.17السعر العادل
EV +1.26%
الأفضلية +0.573%
Kelly +1.05%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.73%46.03%46.07%48.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.072.072.2051.28%48.29%48.31%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +1.26%E +0.573%K +1.05%G +0.013%3.9%2026-04-23 21:25
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.04%E -0.485%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:30
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.79%E -5.20%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.04%E -0.485%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:54
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 03:40
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:40
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 02:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:14
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:59
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:30
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 02:30
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 02:30
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:30
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:30
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:30
Betsson1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:30
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:15
Unibet (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:10
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:30
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:29
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:30
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:40
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:20
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:25
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.09%E -3.50%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:10
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:35
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:34
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:25
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 02:30
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:09
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +0.390%E +0.209%K +0.453%G +0.002%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -9.79%E -4.99%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:19
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +0.390%E +0.209%K +0.453%G +0.002%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -9.79%E -4.99%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:20
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.25%E -5.25%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 02:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-24 02:20
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-04-24 02:55
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%2.3%2026-04-24 03:15