La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jiri Lehecka v Alejandro Tabilo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Predicción 53.97%1.85momio equitativo
EV +0.390%
Ventaja +0.209%
Kelly +0.453%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.31%53.97%53.93%56.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.691.751.731.8659.17%57.30%57.80%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)
Predicción 46.03%2.17momio equitativo
EV +1.26%
Ventaja +0.573%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.73%46.03%46.07%48.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.072.072.2051.28%48.29%48.31%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +1.26%E +0.573%K +1.05%G +0.013% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.04%E -0.485%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.79%E -5.20%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.04%E -0.485%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.42%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 19:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.71%E -4.51%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Betsson | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.72%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.47%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.01%E -2.85%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.09%E -3.50%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 19:59 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 02:34 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +0.390%E +0.209%K +0.453%G +0.002% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -9.79%E -4.99%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 03:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +0.390%E +0.209%K +0.453%G +0.002% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -9.79%E -4.99%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.25%E -5.25%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |