Szkoła Kursów

Fabian Marozsan v Ethan Quinn

Początek: 2026-04-23 11:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 58.90%1.70kurs godziwy
EV +7.79%
Przewaga +4.26%
Kelly +9.39%
Wzrost +0.732%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.83

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.07%58.35%59.03%61.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.511.611.601.8366.23%61.99%62.50%54.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ethan Quinn (Goście)

Prognoza 41.10%2.43kurs godziwy
EV -1.37%
Przewaga -0.570%
Kelly -0.977%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.93%41.65%40.97%48.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.912.252.252.4052.36%44.44%44.44%41.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +7.79%E +4.26%K +9.39%G +0.732%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -21.50%E -11.26%K -23.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:53
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV +3.67%E +2.08%K +4.83%G +0.177%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -12.46%E -5.85%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 10:55
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV +2.49%E +1.43%K +3.37%G +0.084%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 10:42
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +2.49%E +1.43%K +3.37%G +0.084%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -11.23%E -5.20%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +2.49%E +1.43%K +3.37%G +0.084%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -11.23%E -5.20%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 10:44
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV +2.49%E +1.43%K +3.37%G +0.084%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -15.34%E -7.45%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:42
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +1.31%E +0.764%K +1.82%G +0.024%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:42
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +0.135%E +0.080%K +0.193%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -11.23%E -5.20%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 10:42
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +0.135%E +0.080%K +0.193%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.64%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:41
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.454%E -0.269%K -0.658%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.64%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.63%E -0.977%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:54
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.63%E -0.977%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:39
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:40
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:40
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.40%E -2.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.58%E -2.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.07%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.58%E -2.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 10:55
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.42%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 10:54
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.42%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 10:54
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:54
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:55
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:54
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.07%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:55
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:54
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:54
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:54
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.34%E -3.99%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.37%E -0.570%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:54
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.34%E -3.99%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:54
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 10:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:54
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.19%E -0.920%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:54
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:54
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:54
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 10:54
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 10:55
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 10:55
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 10:55
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 10:54
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.37%E -0.570%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 10:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:54
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:54
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.29%E -6.03%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -3.42%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 10:55
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.29%E -6.03%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 10:54
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.88%E -6.46%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.37%E -0.570%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:54
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.88%E -6.46%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.19%E -0.920%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -9.88%E -6.46%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -2.60%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 10:54
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -11.06%E -7.32%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 10:54
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-23 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-23 10:55
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-04-23 10:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-04-23 10:55
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%6.6%2026-04-23 10:55