La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fabian Marozsan v Ethan Quinn
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Predicción 58.90%1.70momio equitativo
EV +7.79%
Ventaja +4.26%
Kelly +9.39%
Crecimiento +0.732%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%58.35%59.03%61.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.611.601.8366.23%61.99%62.50%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ethan Quinn (Visitante)
Predicción 41.10%2.43momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.570%
Kelly -0.977%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.93%41.65%40.97%48.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.252.252.4052.36%44.44%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +7.79%E +4.26%K +9.39%G +0.732% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -21.50%E -11.26%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:53 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV +3.67%E +2.08%K +4.83%G +0.177% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -12.46%E -5.85%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV +2.49%E +1.43%K +3.37%G +0.084% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 10:42 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +2.49%E +1.43%K +3.37%G +0.084% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -11.23%E -5.20%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +2.49%E +1.43%K +3.37%G +0.084% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -11.23%E -5.20%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV +2.49%E +1.43%K +3.37%G +0.084% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -15.34%E -7.45%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 10:42 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +1.31%E +0.764%K +1.82%G +0.024% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 10:42 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +0.135%E +0.080%K +0.193%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -11.23%E -5.20%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 10:42 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +0.135%E +0.080%K +0.193%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.64%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:41 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.454%E -0.269%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.64%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.63%E -0.977%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.63%E -0.977%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.40%E -2.07%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.58%E -2.83%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.07%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.58%E -2.83%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.42%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.42%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.07%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.34%E -3.99%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.37%E -0.570%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.34%E -3.99%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.19%E -0.920%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.37%E -0.570%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.29%E -6.03%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -3.42%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.29%E -6.03%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.88%E -6.46%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.37%E -0.570%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.88%E -6.46%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.19%E -0.920%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -9.88%E -6.46%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -2.60%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -11.06%E -7.32%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Novig | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |