مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Fabian Marozsan v Ethan Quinn
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Fabian Marozsan (المضيف)
التنبؤ 58.90%1.70السعر العادل
EV +7.79%
الأفضلية +4.26%
Kelly +9.39%
النمو +0.732%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.07%58.35%59.03%61.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.511.611.601.8366.23%61.99%62.50%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Ethan Quinn (الضيف)
التنبؤ 41.10%2.43السعر العادل
EV -1.37%
الأفضلية -0.570%
Kelly -0.977%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.93%41.65%40.97%48.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.252.252.4052.36%44.44%44.44%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +7.79%E +4.26%K +9.39%G +0.732% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -21.50%E -11.26%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:53 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV +3.67%E +2.08%K +4.83%G +0.177% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -12.46%E -5.85%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV +2.49%E +1.43%K +3.37%G +0.084% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 10:42 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +2.49%E +1.43%K +3.37%G +0.084% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -11.23%E -5.20%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +2.49%E +1.43%K +3.37%G +0.084% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -11.23%E -5.20%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV +2.49%E +1.43%K +3.37%G +0.084% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -15.34%E -7.45%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 10:42 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +1.31%E +0.764%K +1.82%G +0.024% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 10:42 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +0.135%E +0.080%K +0.193%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -11.23%E -5.20%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 10:42 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +0.135%E +0.080%K +0.193%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.64%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:41 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.454%E -0.269%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.64%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.63%E -0.977%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.63%E -0.977%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.40%E -2.07%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.58%E -2.83%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.07%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.58%E -2.83%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.42%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.42%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.07%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.34%E -3.99%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.37%E -0.570%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.34%E -3.99%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.19%E -0.920%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.37%E -0.570%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.29%E -6.03%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -3.42%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.29%E -6.03%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.88%E -6.46%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.37%E -0.570%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.88%E -6.46%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.19%E -0.920%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -9.88%E -6.46%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -2.60%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -11.06%E -7.32%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Novig | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |