The School of Odds

Emilio Nava v Valentin Vacherot

Matchstart: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Emilio Nava (Hemma)

Prognos 27.22%3.67rättvist odds
EV +1.54%
Fördel +0.412%
Kelly +0.563%
Tillväxt +0.009%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.73

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.25%27.48%27.08%32.71%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.883.433.403.7334.72%29.16%29.41%26.81%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Valentin Vacherot (Borta)

Prognos 72.78%1.37rättvist odds
EV +1.89%
Fördel +1.35%
Kelly +4.72%
Tillväxt +0.089%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.29%72.52%72.92%74.75%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.261.311.301.4079.37%76.38%76.92%71.43%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -21.60%E -7.50%K -11.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV +1.89%E +1.35%K +4.72%G +0.089%6.2%2026-04-23 06:00
1xBet3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -6.36%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -1.75%E -1.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 02:10
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.48%E -1.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.21%E -2.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.21%E -2.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:35
GTbets3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -9.35%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -3.21%E -2.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.21%E -2.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:50
BetOnline.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -3.09%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 03:15
LowVig.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -3.09%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 03:20
DraftKings3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -6.63%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 20:44
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:49
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:50
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:55
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.640%E -0.175%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 03:29
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 02:15
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 20:50
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 21:04
FanDuel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.640%E -0.175%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:30
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:30
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:30
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:29
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:25
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:30
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:34
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:34
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:34
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:20
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:15
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:10
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:50
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:50
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 02:15
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 02:15
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.39%E -4.15%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 02:10
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 03:30
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:30
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:30
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:03
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.722%E +0.195%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:30
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:09
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 01:59
Betclic (FR)3.73I 26.81%NM 25.25%EV +1.54%E +0.412%K +0.563%G +0.009%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.75%EV -8.30%E -6.59%K -31.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Novig3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51%2.3%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-04-24 03:40